Wed Jul 15, 2026 · re-reasoned every morning against the live wire · graded in public
PANIC METERLOWMarket is stable despite escalating tensions in the Middle East, with no significant price movements in major assets.
LATEST RECEIPTS — how our recent calls actually resolved
HITThe VIX touches 17.35 within 3 days.day high 17.56 crossed 17.35 · called 2026-07-14
MISSS&P 500 touches 7613 within 7 daysdeadline passed; never crossed 7,613 (last close 7,544) · called 2026-07-07
HITVIX touches 15.2 within 2 days.day high 17.41 crossed 15.2 · called 2026-07-13
HITVIX index touches 15.5 within 8 days, driven by increased market volatility in response to global economic uncertainty.day high 17.41 crossed 15.5 · called 2026-07-12
HITUS 10Y yield touches 46.2 within 3 days.day high 46.2 crossed 46.2 · called 2026-07-13
MISSThe 10Y yield touches 4.65% within 4 days.deadline passed; never crossed 46.5 (last close 46.2) · called 2026-07-09
The US has launched new strikes on Iran, and the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps claims to have struck US military sites in the Gulf. This intensifies the standoff over the Strait of Hormuz.
→ Global markets are watching the situation closely, with oil prices rising and safe-haven assets like gold gaining ground.
WATCHThe 10Y yield touches 46.3 within 3 days.^TNX · 3d window
02Oil Price Volatility
Crude oil prices have risen as the US has restored its naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, and a new pipeline to bypass the strait has been backed by the US.
→ Oil prices are volatile, with Brent crude topping $85 a barrel, and investors are watching the situation closely.